Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004099 0.004498 0.004926 0.005421 0.005980 0.006593 0.007318
2025-08-31 0.003345 0.003879 0.004494 0.005259 0.006194 0.007308 0.008750
2025-09-07 0.002970 0.003571 0.004295 0.005243 0.006466 0.008013 0.010151
2025-09-14 0.002776 0.003439 0.004269 0.005403 0.006936 0.008979 0.011978
2025-09-21 0.002524 0.003200 0.004072 0.005302 0.007031 0.009435 0.013143
2025-09-28 0.002318 0.002997 0.003896 0.005202 0.007101 0.009844 0.014270
2025-10-05 0.002176 0.002866 0.003801 0.005197 0.007294 0.010437 0.015742
2025-10-12 0.002086 0.002797 0.003783 0.005295 0.007639 0.011288 0.017735
2025-10-19 0.001959 0.002664 0.003662 0.005226 0.007718 0.011720 0.019077
2025-10-26 0.001860 0.002565 0.003581 0.005209 0.007869 0.012279 0.020714
2025-11-02 0.001756 0.002451 0.003469 0.005131 0.007912 0.012654 0.022057
2025-11-09 0.001692 0.002392 0.003434 0.005170 0.008150 0.013389 0.024199
2025-11-16 0.001607 0.002298 0.003345 0.005123 0.008247 0.013904 0.026043
2025-11-23 0.001505 0.002174 0.003200 0.004973 0.008151 0.014056 0.027166
2025-11-30 0.001441 0.002105 0.003139 0.004958 0.008296 0.014680 0.029431
2025-12-07 0.001416 0.002096 0.003172 0.005107 0.008756 0.015985 0.033515
2025-12-14 0.001346 0.002009 0.003072 0.005012 0.008743 0.016317 0.035332
2025-12-21 0.001281 0.001928 0.002978 0.004919 0.008722 0.016630 0.037162
2025-12-28 0.001236 0.001879 0.002933 0.004915 0.008877 0.017341 0.040189
2026-01-04 0.001212 0.001860 0.002940 0.005006 0.009234 0.018552 0.044877
2026-01-11 0.001163 0.001799 0.002869 0.004942 0.009260 0.019002 0.047492
2026-01-18 0.001125 0.001754 0.002823 0.004926 0.009385 0.019703 0.051037
2026-01-25 0.001080 0.001696 0.002752 0.004853 0.009382 0.020086 0.053683